INDIAN Prime Minister Narendra Modi invited opposition Congress party leader Sonia Gandhi for talks on Friday (November 27) to break a deadlock over the introduction of a new indirect tax in a bid to put his economic recovery agenda back on track.
The face-to-face meeting between the two rivals would be the first since Modi rose to power 18 months ago, and could herald a long-awaited compromise on the proposed goods and services tax (GST), billed as the biggest tax reform since independence.
Modi, 65, has raised India's global profile with a series of trips abroad but suffered his biggest setback as prime minister when his nationalist party crashed to defeat in a big state election this month.
That loss, say aides and analysts, means Modi will have to show more willingness to compromise on the GST after Congress – which first proposed the tax when it was in government – set a series of non-negotiable demands.
"The government is under tremendous pressure to get GST cleared," said Rakesh Sinha, director of the India Policy Foundation, a think tank with close ties to the government.
"Modi's engagement with the opposition is only way to prove that every effort is being made to accelerate the pace of economic growth. He is willing to discuss, debate and negotiate now."
Financial markets ticked higher as TV news channels flashed headlines that Modi had for the first time reached out to Gandhi, who will be accompanied by former prime minister Manmohan Singh. Her son and heir-apparent Rahul, the target of a series of public attacks by the BJP, will not attend.
Analysts cautioned, however, that while the outlines of a compromise on GST were taking shape, there was no guarantee that a bargain would be struck during the meeting at Modi's official residence.
"Passage of GST will be positive for the rupee, bonds and the equity market. The rupee may have greater space to reverse its losses if GST is passed," said Ashish Vaidya, head of trading and asset liability management at DBS India.
"But clearly it is not given that today's talks will be a blanket 'yes' or 'no' to what the government wants. We will watch the developments."
The GST would create a common market in Asia's third-largest economy and, the government estimates, add 2 percentage points to economic output.
Yet horse trading has threatened to wreck efforts to simplify taxes: BJP-ruled states have called for an extra state levy and a GST rate of over 20 per cent, raising concerns of yet more red tape and tax evasion.
Congress wants to cap the GST at below 20 per cent, scrap the state levy and create an independent mechanism to resolve disputes on revenue sharing between states.
"We will discuss every aspect of GST with the prime minister and they will have to accept our demands," said a senior aide to Sonia Gandhi.
Complicating matters for the government is the need for a two-thirds majority in the upper house to pass a constitutional enabling amendment that would make it possible to implement the GST as soon as next April.
The government's strategy has been to try and win the backing of smaller, regional opposition parties for the GST, thereby isolating Congress.
Parliamentary Affairs Minister Venkaiah Naidu said that 30 out of 32 parties now backed GST. Still, to be sure of guaranteeing passage the votes of Congress would be needed.
