INDIA’S finance minister is putting welfare, defence and road projects on the chopping block in a last-ditch attempt to hit a tough fiscal deficit target by March, risking short-term economic growth and angering cabinet colleagues.
The cuts will reduce spending by about 1.1 trillion Indian rupees ($20.6bn/£13.02bn) in the current financial year, some 8 per cent of budgeted outlay, or roughly 1 per cent of estimated gross domestic product, two senior finance ministry officials and a senior government adviser told reporters.
It is the first time the scale of the cuts and details of where the axe will fall have been made public, with officials revealing startling details about delays to arms purchases and belt-tightening for politically sensitive rural welfare schemes in an election year.
Finance Minister P Chidambaram has staked his reputation on lowering the deficit to 5.3 per cent of GDP to improve the investment climate following ratings agency threats to downgrade to junk India’s sovereign debt if action was not taken.
After a series of investor-friendly reforms and small steps to reduce fuel subsidies, he has now turned firepower on big-spending colleagues, some of whom are pushing back, worried cuts will hit voters ahead of a national election due in early 2014.
“Every ministry is affected by the budget cuts. We are trying hard to get as much money as possible,” said a senior official in the road transport ministry, who declined to be named because of the sensitivity of the issue.
Data released on Thursday (January 30) showed the cuts beginning to bite, with capital spending to December down 6.8 per cent on the year, in sharp contrast to the government’s original budget plan to raise capital spending by 22 per cent by March.
An analyst with rating agency Standard & Poor’s told reporters that the possibility of India losing its investment grade status has receded somewhat as a result of economic reforms undertaken by the government since last September, although there remained at least a one-in-three chance.
Policymakers say getting India’s finances in order will give private players room to borrow and the confidence to invest.
A drop-off in investment, hurting growth, is blamed in part on public spending that is funded through market borrowing crowding out the private sector.
“With fiscal discipline, what will happen is that there will be larger money with the private sector, which can be used for the growth,” said BK Chaturvedi, a senior adviser to the government on infrastructure spending.
Chidambaram will officially report the revised spending figures for 2012/13 when he presents next year’s budget to parliament on February 28.
